BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Troy Mills North Linn

Class: A Class Rank: 37 Conference: A-5 Record: (15-20-0) Overall: (41-51-0) Overall Strength =   62.46

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Home    L * *  41.36   0  27    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -21.18     -5.82                      
 2 09/02/2011 Away    W * *  98.47  41   6    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          35.94     -0.94                      
 3 09/09/2011 Away    L * *  63.91   7  19    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley        1.37    -13.37                      
 4 09/16/2011 Home    L * *  62.17   6  18    A 15 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue               -0.37    -11.63                      
 5 09/23/2011 Home    L      55.44  26  44    8  8 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley          -7.10    -10.90                      
 6 09/30/2011 Away    L      23.84  12  46    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont    -38.70      4.70                      
 7 10/07/2011 Home    L      49.78   7  41    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley         -12.76    -21.24                      
 8 10/14/2011 Away    W      89.54  23   0    A 33 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          27.00     -4.00                      
 9 10/21/2011 Home    L      44.66  28  35   1A 46 ( 14- 73-  0) Goose Lake Northeast  -17.88     10.88                      
10 08/24/2012 Away    L * *  70.93  29  30    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett               8.39     -9.39                      
11 08/31/2012 Home    W      88.21  38   8    A 44 ( 30- 62-  0) Stanwood North Cedar   25.67      4.33                      
12 09/07/2012 Away    L      75.01  12  14    8  8 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley          12.48    -14.48                      
13 09/14/2012 Home    W      53.56  18   8    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              -8.98     18.98                      
14 09/21/2012 Away    W * * 110.30  49   0    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     47.76      1.24                      
15 09/28/2012 Home    L      28.78   0  55    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley         -33.76    -21.24                      
16 10/05/2012 Away    L      38.84  20  39    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont    -23.70      4.70                      
17 10/12/2012 Away    W * * 106.47  49   6    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          43.94     -0.94                      
18 10/19/2012 Home    L      38.15   7  21    A 49 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler   -24.39     10.39                      
19 08/30/2013 Home    L * *  35.36   6  39    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -27.18     -5.82  ND                  
20 09/06/2013 Away    L      33.78  14  42    A 44 ( 30- 62-  0) Stanwood North Cedar  -28.76      0.76  ND                  
21 09/13/2013 Home    L      35.44   6  44    8  8 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley         -27.10    -10.90                      
22 09/20/2013 Away    L       8.13   0  39    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville             -54.41     15.41                      
23 09/27/2013 Home    L * *  33.73  15  39    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -28.81      4.81                      
24 10/05/2013 Away    L      46.35  20  61    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley         -16.19    -24.81  was 10/04 now 10/05 
25 10/11/2013 Home    L      18.27  12  48    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont    -44.27      8.27                      
26 10/18/2013 Home    W * * 105.90  59  13    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          43.37      2.63                      
27 10/25/2013 Away    L      27.72  19  47    A 49 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler   -34.82      6.82                      
28 08/29/2014 Away    L      36.46   0  32    A 31 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine          -26.07     -5.93                      
29 09/05/2014 Home    L * *  44.36  20  44    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -18.18     -5.82                      
30 09/12/2014 Home    W      60.27  42  36 1  A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     -2.27      8.27                      
31 09/19/2014 Away    W      54.13  22  15    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              -8.41     15.41                      
32 09/26/2014 Home    L * *  45.73  14  26    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -16.81      4.81                      
33 10/03/2014 Away    L * *  34.91  14  55    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -27.63    -13.37                      
34 10/10/2014 Away    W      82.83  20   0    8 25 ( 39- 38-  0) Easton Valley          20.29     -0.29                      
35 10/17/2014 Home    W * *  61.90  20  18    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          -0.63      2.63                      
36 10/24/2014 Away    L      57.77  20  43    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 -4.77    -18.23                      
37 10/29/2014 Away    L      27.47  13  62   1A 24 ( 63- 35-  0) Packwood Pekin        -35.07    -13.93                      
38 08/29/2015 Home    L      58.89  20  26    A 31 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine           -3.64     -2.36  was 08/28 now 08/29 AND  ND
39 09/04/2015 Away    L * *  38.93  13  46    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -23.61     -9.39  ND                  
40 09/11/2015 Away    W      93.84  44   8    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     31.30      4.70                      
41 09/18/2015 Home    W      72.56  36   7    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              10.02     18.98                      
42 09/25/2015 Away    W * *  69.30  40  32    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg      6.76      1.24                      
43 10/02/2015 Home    L * *  32.34  18  58    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -30.20     -9.80                      
44 10/09/2015 Home    W      63.26  34  30    8 25 ( 39- 38-  0) Easton Valley           0.72      3.28                      
45 10/16/2015 Away    L * *  19.47  12  56    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -43.06     -0.94                      
46 10/23/2015 Home    L      33.20   0  44    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                -29.34    -14.66                      
47 10/28/2015 Away    L       4.98   0  38    8 52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -57.56     19.56                      
48 08/26/2016 Home    W      96.59  42   6    A 40 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       34.05      1.95  ND                  
49 09/02/2016 Home    W      78.88  28   6   1A 43 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  16.34      5.66  ND                  
50 09/09/2016 Away    L * *  29.47   8  42    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -33.06     -0.94                      
51 09/16/2016 Away    L      74.77  20  26    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 12.23    -18.23                      
52 09/23/2016 Home    W      62.46  17   0    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville               0.00 X   18.98  pre-game forfeit    
53 09/30/2016 Home    W * * 106.36  38   0    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              43.82     -5.82                      
54 10/07/2016 Away    W * *  71.30  32  22    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg      8.76      1.24                      
55 10/14/2016 Away    W      88.84  52  21    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     26.30      4.70                      
56 10/21/2016 Home    L      72.78  12  23    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          10.24    -21.24                      
57 08/25/2017 Away    W      79.16  21   6    A 40 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       16.62     -1.62  ND                  
58 09/01/2017 Away    W     101.45  41   0   1A 43 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  38.91      2.09  ND                  
59 09/08/2017 Home    L * *  37.90   6  28    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -24.63      2.63                      
60 09/15/2017 Home    L      76.20  19  20    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 13.66    -14.66                      
61 09/22/2017 Away    W     113.13  66   0    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              50.59     15.41                      
62 09/29/2017 Away    L * *  25.93   0  46    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -36.61     -9.39                      
63 10/06/2017 Home    W * *  62.73  13   8    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg      0.19      4.81                      
64 10/13/2017 Home    W      82.27  34   6    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     19.73      8.27                      
65 10/20/2017 Away    L      59.35   7  35    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          -3.19    -24.81                      
66 08/24/2018 Away    W     109.84  52   0    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     47.30      4.70  ND                  
67 08/31/2018 Home    W * * 103.34  37   6    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       40.80     -9.80  ND                  
68 09/07/2018 Home    W * *  73.36  14   9    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              10.82     -5.82  ND                  
69 09/14/2018 Away    L * *  49.30  14  26    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -13.24      1.24  ND                  
70 09/21/2018 Home    L      51.16   6  49   1A  1 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford     -11.38    -31.62                      
71 09/28/2018 Away    W      83.45  23   0   1A 43 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  20.91      2.09                      
72 10/05/2018 Home    L      75.65  12  35    A  1 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina       13.12    -36.12                      
73 10/12/2018 Home    W      67.42  26   6   1A 49 ( 14- 77-  0) East Marshall           4.88     15.12                      
74 10/19/2018 Away    W      86.61  28   6   1A 40 ( 28- 54-  0) Eldora South Hardin    24.07     -2.07                      
75 08/30/2019 Home    W     107.27  53   0    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     44.73      8.27  ND                  
76 09/06/2019 Away    W * * 115.91  40   0    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       53.37    -13.37  ND                  
77 09/13/2019 Away    W * *  85.93  28  14    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              23.39     -9.39  ND                  
78 09/20/2019 Home    W * *  61.73  20  16    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     -0.81      4.81  ND                  
79 09/27/2019 Away    L      49.73  14  62   1A  1 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford     -12.81    -35.19                      
80 10/04/2019 Home    W      63.88  20  13   1A 43 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                   1.34      5.66                      
81 10/11/2019 Away    L      93.23  28  37    A  1 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina       30.69    -39.69                      
82 10/18/2019 Away    W      82.99  38   6   1A 49 ( 14- 77-  0) East Marshall          20.45     11.55                      
83 10/25/2019 Home    W      69.04  14   6   1A 40 ( 28- 54-  0) Eldora South Hardin     6.50      1.50                      
84 11/01/2019 Away    L      68.05   0  23   1A  4 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch             5.51    -28.51                      
85 08/28/2020 Away    L      37.45   8  31   1A 43 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                 -25.09      2.09  ND                  
86 09/04/2020 Home    W      76.97  36  22    A 33 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          14.43     -0.43  ND                  
87 09/11/2020 Home    L * *  59.17  12  27    A 15 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue               -3.37    -11.63                      
88 09/18/2020 Away    W * *  78.91  39  36    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       16.37    -13.37                      
89 09/25/2020 Home    L * *  43.73  28  42    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -18.81      4.81  ND                  
90 10/02/2020 Away    L * *  43.47  14  34    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -19.06     -0.94                      
91 10/09/2020 Home    L * *  61.36  14  21    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              -1.18     -5.82                      
92 10/16/2020 Away    L      53.54  42  55    A 33 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          -9.00     -4.00                      
      Averages              62.46  22.2 25.5

Best game:  115.91 = 40 point win over Delhi Maquoketa Valley
Worst game:   4.98 = 38 point loss to Winfield-Mount Union
Team stdev:  26.23