BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Troy Mills North Linn

Class: A Class Rank: 38 Conference: A-5 Record: (15-20-0) Overall: (41-51-0) Overall Strength =   62.34

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Home    L *  41.25   0  27    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -21.15     -5.85                      
  2 09/02/2011 Away    W *  98.33  41   6    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          35.94     -0.94                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    L *  63.77   7  19    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley        1.38    -13.38                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    L *  62.06   6  18    A  16 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue               -0.33    -11.67                      
  5 09/23/2011 Home    L    55.32  26  44    8   9 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley          -7.08    -10.92                      
  6 09/30/2011 Away    L    23.66  12  46    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont    -38.73      4.73                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    L    49.67   7  41    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley         -12.72    -21.28                      
  8 10/14/2011 Away    W    89.41  23   0    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          27.01     -4.01                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    L    44.56  28  35   1A  46 ( 14- 73-  0) Goose Lake Northeast  -17.83     10.83                      
 10 08/24/2012 Away    L *  70.79  29  30    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett               8.40     -9.40                      
 11 08/31/2012 Home    W    88.11  38   8    A  45 ( 30- 62-  0) Stanwood North Cedar   25.71      4.29                      
 12 09/07/2012 Away    L    74.86  12  14    8   9 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley          12.47    -14.47                      
 13 09/14/2012 Home    W    53.57  18   8    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              -8.82     18.82                      
 14 09/21/2012 Away    W * 110.16  49   0    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     47.76      1.24                      
 15 09/28/2012 Home    L    28.67   0  55    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley         -33.72    -21.28                      
 16 10/05/2012 Away    L    38.66  20  39    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont    -23.73      4.73                      
 17 10/12/2012 Away    W * 106.33  49   6    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          43.94     -0.94                      
 18 10/19/2012 Home    L    38.07   7  21    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler   -24.33     10.33                      
 19 08/30/2013 Home    L *  35.25   6  39    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -27.15     -5.85  ND                  
 20 09/06/2013 Away    L    33.65  14  42    A  45 ( 30- 62-  0) Stanwood North Cedar  -28.75      0.75  ND                  
 21 09/13/2013 Home    L    35.32   6  44    8   9 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley         -27.08    -10.92                      
 22 09/20/2013 Away    L     8.11   0  39    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville             -54.28     15.28                      
 23 09/27/2013 Home    L *  33.62  15  39    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -28.78      4.78                      
 24 10/05/2013 Away    L    46.21  20  61    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley         -16.18    -24.82  was 10/04 now 10/05 
 25 10/11/2013 Home    L    18.12  12  48    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont    -44.27      8.27                      
 26 10/18/2013 Home    W * 105.79  59  13    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          43.39      2.61                      
 27 10/25/2013 Away    L    27.61  19  47    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler   -34.79      6.79                      
 28 08/29/2014 Away    L    36.33   0  32    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine          -26.06     -5.94                      
 29 09/05/2014 Home    L *  44.25  20  44    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -18.15     -5.85                      
 30 09/12/2014 Home    W    60.12  42  36 1  A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     -2.27      8.27                      
 31 09/19/2014 Away    W    54.11  22  15    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              -8.28     15.28                      
 32 09/26/2014 Home    L *  45.62  14  26    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -16.78      4.78                      
 33 10/03/2014 Away    L *  34.77  14  55    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -27.62    -13.38                      
 34 10/10/2014 Away    W    82.70  20   0    8  25 ( 39- 38-  0) Easton Valley          20.30     -0.30                      
 35 10/17/2014 Home    W *  61.79  20  18    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          -0.61      2.61                      
 36 10/24/2014 Away    L    57.62  20  43    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 -4.78    -18.22                      
 37 10/29/2014 Away    L    27.34  13  62   1A  25 ( 63- 35-  0) Packwood Pekin        -35.06    -13.94                      
 38 08/29/2015 Home    L    58.79  20  26    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine           -3.60     -2.40  was 08/28 now 08/29 AND  ND
 39 09/04/2015 Away    L *  38.79  13  46    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -23.60     -9.40  ND                  
 40 09/11/2015 Away    W    93.66  44   8    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     31.27      4.73                      
 41 09/18/2015 Home    W    72.57  36   7    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              10.18     18.82                      
 42 09/25/2015 Away    W *  69.16  40  32    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg      6.76      1.24                      
 43 10/02/2015 Home    L *  32.23  18  58    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -30.16     -9.84                      
 44 10/09/2015 Home    W    63.15  34  30    8  25 ( 39- 38-  0) Easton Valley           0.76      3.24                      
 45 10/16/2015 Away    L *  19.33  12  56    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -43.06     -0.94                      
 46 10/23/2015 Home    L    33.08   0  44    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                -29.32    -14.68                      
 47 10/28/2015 Away    L     4.90   0  38    8  52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -57.49     19.49                      
 48 08/26/2016 Home    W    96.20  42   6    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       33.80      2.20  ND                  
 49 09/02/2016 Home    W    78.78  28   6   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  16.39      5.61  ND                  
 50 09/09/2016 Away    L *  29.33   8  42    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -33.06     -0.94                      
 51 09/16/2016 Away    L    74.62  20  26    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 12.22    -18.22                      
 52 09/23/2016 Home    W    60.57  17   0    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              -1.82     18.82  pre-game forfeit    
 53 09/30/2016 Home    W * 106.25  38   0    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              43.85     -5.85                      
 54 10/07/2016 Away    W *  71.16  32  22    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg      8.76      1.24                      
 55 10/14/2016 Away    W    88.66  52  21    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     26.27      4.73                      
 56 10/21/2016 Home    L    72.67  12  23    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          10.28    -21.28                      
 57 08/25/2017 Away    W    78.74  21   6    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       16.34     -1.34  ND                  
 58 09/01/2017 Away    W   101.32  41   0   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  38.93      2.07  ND                  
 59 09/08/2017 Home    L *  37.79   6  28    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -24.61      2.61                      
 60 09/15/2017 Home    L    76.08  19  20    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 13.68    -14.68                      
 61 09/22/2017 Away    W   113.11  66   0    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              50.72     15.28                      
 62 09/29/2017 Away    L *  25.79   0  46    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -36.60     -9.40                      
 63 10/06/2017 Home    W *  62.62  13   8    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg      0.22      4.78                      
 64 10/13/2017 Home    W    82.12  34   6    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     19.73      8.27                      
 65 10/20/2017 Away    L    59.21   7  35    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          -3.18    -24.82                      
 66 08/24/2018 Away    W   109.66  52   0    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     47.27      4.73  ND                  
 67 08/31/2018 Home    W * 103.23  37   6    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       40.84     -9.84  ND                  
 68 09/07/2018 Home    W *  73.25  14   9    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              10.85     -5.85  ND                  
 69 09/14/2018 Away    L *  49.16  14  26    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -13.24      1.24  ND                  
 70 09/21/2018 Home    L    51.08   6  49   1A   2 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford     -11.31    -31.69                      
 71 09/28/2018 Away    W    83.32  23   0   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  20.93      2.07                      
 72 10/05/2018 Home    L    75.55  12  35    A   2 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina       13.16    -36.16                      
 73 10/12/2018 Home    W    67.34  26   6   1A  49 ( 14- 77-  0) East Marshall           4.94     15.06                      
 74 10/19/2018 Away    W    86.51  28   6   1A  39 ( 28- 54-  0) Eldora South Hardin    24.12     -2.12                      
 75 08/30/2019 Home    W   107.12  53   0    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     44.73      8.27  ND                  
 76 09/06/2019 Away    W * 115.77  40   0    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       53.38    -13.38  ND                  
 77 09/13/2019 Away    W *  85.79  28  14    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              23.40     -9.40  ND                  
 78 09/20/2019 Home    W *  61.62  20  16    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     -0.78      4.78  ND                  
 79 09/27/2019 Away    L    49.63  14  62   1A   2 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford     -12.77    -35.23                      
 80 10/04/2019 Home    W    63.78  20  13   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                   1.39      5.61                      
 81 10/11/2019 Away    L    93.10  28  37    A   2 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina       30.70    -39.70                      
 82 10/18/2019 Away    W    82.88  38   6   1A  49 ( 14- 77-  0) East Marshall          20.48     11.52                      
 83 10/25/2019 Home    W    68.97  14   6   1A  39 ( 28- 54-  0) Eldora South Hardin     6.57      1.43                      
 84 11/01/2019 Away    L    67.92   0  23   1A   5 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch             5.53    -28.53                      
 85 08/28/2020 Away    L    37.32   8  31   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                 -25.07      2.07  ND                  
 86 09/04/2020 Home    W    76.86  36  22    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          14.47     -0.47  ND                  
 87 09/11/2020 Home    L *  59.06  12  27    A  16 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue               -3.33    -11.67                      
 88 09/18/2020 Away    W *  78.77  39  36    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       16.38    -13.38                      
 89 09/25/2020 Home    L *  43.62  28  42    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -18.78      4.78  ND                  
 90 10/02/2020 Away    L *  43.33  14  34    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -19.06     -0.94                      
 91 10/09/2020 Home    L *  61.25  14  21    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              -1.15     -5.85                      
 92 10/16/2020 Away    L    53.41  42  55    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          -8.99     -4.01                      
      Averages              62.34  22.2 25.5

Best game:  115.77 = 40 point win over Delhi Maquoketa Valley
Worst game:   4.90 = 38 point loss to Winfield-Mount Union
Team stdev:  26.22